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zelvorm
Zelvorm Stock · feature

Five forecasting methods compete on each product's last four weeks; the most accurate one wins, and you see its accuracy.

For every product Stock tries a recent average, a smoothed level, a damped trend, a weekly pattern (busier weekends, quieter Mondays) and, for products that sell on only some days, Croston's method. Each one forecasts the last 28 days from the days before them, and the method that missed by the least wins. Its accuracy (one minus the total miss over the total sold) is shown on the product, so you know how much to trust it.

How to use it

  1. 1Bring your products and daily sales in from Commerce, or import a sales history CSV.
  2. 2Open a product to see the last 60 days sold against the next 60 days forecast.
  3. 3Press Explain this plan for the AI to talk it through.